28%

About 28% of black Democrats call themselves liberals, half the percentage of white Democrats.  

I'm not sure how to read this. It may be that voters of color consider liberalism a luxury only white people can afford. It may be that voters of color try to be pragmatic. 

Attempts to predict which candidate is best placed to win embody what I call "the Pelosi fallacy."  Will it be someone who attracts young people? Or enthuses black women? Or someone liked by old MAGA dudes? 

How did we end up nominating Gore, Kerry and Hillary? 

We will not know in advance which candidate will be strongest against tRump. Who will generate enthusiasm and turnout?