Saturday, November 21, 2020

Why Polls Fail

 My brother sent me a Washington Post article in which the writer claimed that today most people are no longer willing to be polled. So the polling data comes from a tiny minority of the willing. 

I think it's possible that very few of the willing wear MAGA hats. 

If a pollster does manage to get an old white man to cooperate, that dude is probably not representative. So the true margin of error in polls is increasing, and the support for Spanky Braincrumb has been underestimated.



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