Friday, November 6, 2020

A Note from an Expert

I can't tell you how many times women have praised me for my knowledge of political polling. Tuesday night, at about ten-thirty, was one of the best. Joe Biden was down by 15 percentage points. I was surrounded by tears of rage. But the tears were mopped up when I reminded everyone that the pollers had showed Biden eventually winning Michigan and Wisconsin. No worries.

The polls (but not the politicians) had tended to predict that Biden would take home a much larger win than the one he got. Instead it was a squeaker. That harmed the reputation of polling. But the political pros had never called for a huge win and had made that clear. They had, however, predicted a close victory. 

I mean, c'mon. 

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