Sunday, November 1, 2020

Voters Shift

 

This analysis by the Marist Poll gives people a

good look at one state.



BIDEN UP BY 6 POINTS IN NORTH CAROLINA

October 2020

In North Carolina, former Vice President Joe Biden receives the support of 52% to 46% for President Donald Trump among likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or who already voted. Among North Carolina registered voters, Biden has 51% to 46% for Trump. Biden (51%) was +7 points over Trump (44%) among North Carolina registered voters in July.

  • Biden leads Trump among Blacks who are likely to vote, those who say they are voting by mail or absentee ballot, white voters with a college degree – especially white women with a college degree – voters under the age of 45, women, and voters in the cities and suburbs.

  • Trump is ahead among white Evangelical Christians, those who plan to vote in-person on Election Day, whites -- especially white men without a college degree – men, and voters in small towns or rural areas.

  • Trump is +14 among whites. He carried this group by 31 points in 2016.

  • Independents are +9 points for Biden, a group that supported Trump by 16 points in 2016.

  • Voters age 65 and older divide (50% Trump to 49% Biden). Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by 23 points among these voters in 2016.

  • 62% of registered voters report having voted.

  • Only 2% of likely voters are persuadable, that is, voters who are undecided or who support a candidate but might vote differently.

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