Wednesday, November 7, 2012
Nate Silver Wins
To my blue eye, for the last six months the TV talking heads I watch have been finding the most threatening poll results each morning and then warning me of a hideous doom. But the statistics expert Nate Silver kept me sane. His careful daily analysis struck me as realistic, and he consistently had the President ahead in his race for re-election. Obama led from beginning to end. That was reality.
In the final week Silver came under attack from some of the TV gasbags on the Left and Right. They make a living inventing imaginary causes for thrilling nonevents. Silver was exposing them for what they are, entertainers with not a clue as to who was ahead in the voters' affections.
Silver said the Presidential race tilted about 9 to 1 in Obama's favor. He said that Obama would win the popular vote by about 2%. Silver listed every state in which Obama would prevail.
It all came true. Thank you, Nate Silver. (Remember this name two years from now.)
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