Experts say that in 2020 each major party will support its own candidate for President at the same level, about 85%.
The Democratic party is larger.
The Republican party has better turn-out.
The Democratic party turn-out will decide the election. If the Dems nominate someone who enthuses their base, they will win. If the Dems register many new young voters, they will win.
The Democratic base is women and people of color (many working class), well educated people and young voters. It's a guess as to which candidate will interest them, but I doubt if it will be the 1990s Joe Biden or someone whose first name is Mayor.
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